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Run the Numbers on a Home Loan: Check Whether Your Mortgage Will Hold

Instalment, interest and repayment, APR, special repayments, repairs, parental leave and incapacity for work: a home loan worked through for an example household, with charts to try out.

Published by Adrian Vogel · Reading time: approx. 13 minutes · Last updated: October 2026 · Jurisdiction: Germany

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Before you start: This article is not financial, investment, insurance or tax advice. All example calculations are our own, for an invented household. They do not predict what will happen.

In short:

  • The instalment alone says little. What counts is how much buffer remains when something gets in the way.
  • Eight charts to try out: loan amount, repayment, offers, special repayment, repairs, parental leave, incapacity for work, buying versus renting.
  • Three views show the same household read-only in the OWNAMIC Big Picture.
  • At the end: a comparison table for loan offers and five Excel formulas to check the numbers yourself.
A small house model made of light wood stands on a purchase contract, with a bunch of keys in front of it on a blue background
Photo: OleksandrPidvalnyi via Pixabay

Why the monthly instalment alone is not enough

The bank tells you which instalment you get. Whether you can carry it for 27 years, with a child, a new heating system or a longer illness, is for you to work out. We do that here with an invented household and a chart for every key figure. You can adjust the charts.

Example household (invented)
Net income €5,400 a month (€3,200 + €2,200)
House, 140 m² €450,000 plus €45,000 purchase costs
Equity €95,000, leaving a €20,000 reserve
Loan €400,000, 4.10% nominal rate, 2% initial repayment, fixed for 10 years
Instalment €2,033 a month
Living and fixed costs €2,550 plus €250 for maintenance
Left each month €567

We calculate cautiously on purpose: income and costs rise by 2% once a year. The house and the savings do not gain value. After the fixed-rate period we assume the same rate. Nobody knows the real follow-up rate today.

This is the same household in the OWNAMIC Big Picture. The view is read-only: you can switch the time span and open the details, but you cannot change anything.

Big Picture · read-only The example household in the Big Picture
Loan, salaries, fixed costs, reserve, heating and roof on one timeline. The remaining debt runs along dashed.
Example, invented household · no forecast · no advice
lock Fixed assumptions

Calculated with 2 % income growth and 2 % inflation a year. Wealth goal, value growth and the entries under “Configure scope” are not set. Once registered, you adjust every assumption to suit you.

Register
timeline Time horizon
tune Assumptions & net worth target expand_more
trending_down Inflation
2.0 %
Amounts are future euros at 2.0 % inflation.
trending_up Income growth (nominal)
2.0 %
Real income growth (income vs. prices): 0.0 %/year
flag Wealth goal
€
A target for your net worth — shown as a dashed line, in the net-worth view only.
Net worth With unchanged inputs, net worth would grow over 20 y by: ≈ +677,000 €
0200k400k600k Remaining debt153k Net worth today747ktoday2 years5 years10 years15 years20 years
expand_content Details expand_more
Data basis

What the carry-forward actually rests on. Every kind of input that is not recorded is calculated as zero and makes the curve too optimistic.

check_circle Income 5,400 € entire horizon
check_circle Fixed costs 1,100 € entire horizon
check_circle Variable costs 1,700 € from 0 purchases
check_circle Assets 470,000 €
check_circle Debt 2,033 € entire horizon
remove Savings plans none
Yearly surplus / deficit
Year → Year 1: +7,137 €1Year 2: +7,768 €2Year 3: +8,411 €3Year 4: +9,067 €4Year 5: +9,737 €5Year 6: −17,183 €6Year 7: +11,116 €7Year 8: +11,826 €8Year 9: +12,551 €9Year 10: +13,290 €10Year 11: +14,043 €11Year 12: +14,812 €12Year 13: +15,597 €13Year 14: +16,396 €14Year 15: −22,372 €15Year 16: +18,045 €16Year 17: +18,894 €17Year 18: +19,759 €18Year 19: +20,643 €19Year 20: +21,543 €20
shopping_cart incl. variable costs ≈ 1,700 € / month
Net worthRemaining debt (mortgage)Value corridorSurplus Deficit
Net worth today 70,000 €
Corridor 20 yWith unchanged inputs this would give:≈ 740–754kfrom – to, not a commitment≈ 528,000 € in today's money
Cumulative 20 yWith unchanged inputs this would give:≈ +211,000 €trending_up Surplus
Mortgage remaining debt 400,000 € → 152,718 €decreases over 20 years
functions How this chart is calculated — every formula expand_more

Everything below is computed deterministically from the recorded objects — no AI, no assumptions about markets or prices. Symbols: t = month (0 = today), i = monthly interest rate, σ = assumed standard deviation, g = assumed annual value change of an asset class (0 % unless you set one).

Net worth today

Every active object counts at its documented (purchase-backed) or AI-estimated value: real estate, money and accounts at their recorded balance, financial assets (securities, funds, deposits), digital assets (crypto, tokens, licences), vehicles, collectibles and household goods. The remaining debt of all loans is subtracted. Consumed goods — consumables and cosmetics — are excluded, and a collection is a container that counts only through the objects it holds.

net worth(0) = documented values + estimated values − remaining debt(0) asset classes: real estate · money · financial assets · digital assets · collectibles · vehicles · household
The net-worth line

Six effects move the line: the cash surplus or deficit of that month, the loan principal repaid in it, the durable share of variable purchases (a car keeps resale value, groceries do not), the inflation indexation of price-linked objects (real estate, collectibles), the money moved into asset classes by savings plans and planned trades, and — only if you set a rate per class — the assumed value change. Money assets, financial and digital assets, vehicles and household goods stay nominally constant by default. A savings rate leaves the surplus and arrives as a transfer, so the two cancel and the line does not move. The number above the chart is exactly the rise of that line over the selected horizon — the cumulative surplus alone is only one of the effects and has its own tile further down.

net worth(t) = net worth(0) + cumulative surplus(t) + repaid principal(t) + durable share(t) + inflation indexation(t) + transfers into assets(t) + assumed value change(t)
Yearly surplus / deficit (the bars)

Income minus expenses minus the full loan installment (interest and principal), any special repayments (Sondertilgung) and the rates of savings plans and planned purchases; sale proceeds count as inflows. A year's bar is the sum of its 12 monthly nets. The full installment, special repayments and savings rates all count as outflows here — the principal inside the installment and the transferred savings are credited back in the line above, never counted twice.

monthly net = income − expenses − loan installment − special repayment − savings rates & planned purchases + sale proceeds year bar = Σ of the 12 monthly nets
Who pays when the bars are red?

A deficit is drawn from the money assets (accounts, savings accounts): their stock shrinks by exactly the accumulated deficit. Net worth can still rise at the same time, because most of the loan installment is not a cost but repayment — money moving from the account into home equity. Only the interest portion truly leaves the wealth. A savings plan works the same way: the rate leaves the account and turns into the asset it bought. If the money assets would drop below zero, the chart stops in that month with a red warning: from there on only a sale of other assets or a new loan could pay the bills, and neither is modelled.

money assets(t) = money assets(0) + cumulative surplus(t) (the surplus is already net of savings rates) Δ net worth in month t = monthly net + principal(t) + transfers(t) = income − expenses − interest(t) liquidity used up = first month with money assets(t) < 0 → the chart stops there
Loan repayment (the dashed line)

The remaining-debt line follows a real amortization schedule: each month interest is charged on the current balance, the rest of the installment repays principal. As the balance falls, the interest share shrinks and the repayment share grows. Any recorded special repayments (Sondertilgung) reduce the balance directly on top. Without a recorded installment, the annuity is derived from the contract values (n = term in months). A loan that only starts later in the horizon carries no debt until its start month; then its principal is paid out into the money assets and becomes debt at the same time, and the installments follow from the month after.

i = annual interest rate ÷ 12 interest(t) = balance(t−1) × i principal(t) = installment − interest(t) balance(t) = balance(t−1) − principal(t) − special repayment(t) annuity fallback: installment = loan amount × i ÷ (1 − (1 + i)^−n)
The value corridor

An ~80 % confidence band around the expected line. AI-estimated values carry an assumed uncertainty of ±25 %; recurring spending an assumed variation of ±15 % per month — the band widens over time.

corridor(t) = net worth(t) ± 1.2816 × √(t × σ_spending² + σ_estimates²) σ_estimates = 25 % of AI-estimated values · σ_spending = 15 % of monthly expenses
Wealth goal

A target you set for your net worth. It never enters the arithmetic — the line does not move because of it. It is drawn as a horizontal dashed line in the net-worth view, not in the category view: there the areas show a composition, not a total. The star marks the crossing with the middle curve, and the vertical dashed line runs from there down to the time axis. The tile states the span in which the goal could be met: the upper end of the uncertainty corridor gives the early year, the lower end the late one.

goal year = first month with curve(t) ≥ goal · span = [upper corridor edge, lower corridor edge]
Inflation

The chart shows future euros. Prices — recurring expenses and variable costs — rise with the inflation rate you set, and so do income (at your nominal income growth) and the value of real estate and collectibles. Money assets, financial and digital assets and the mortgage schedule are nominally fixed and stay flat (unless you set a rate per class), which is why savings quietly lose purchasing power while fixed debt gets lighter. Vehicles and household goods are left flat too: they are estimated present values with no depreciation model behind them, and indexing them up would overstate a stock that in reality loses value.

price level(t) = (1 + inflation)^(t/12) · today, real value(t) = nominal value(t) ÷ price level(t)
Variable costs (consumables, vehicles, …)

Consumables, vehicles, collectibles and household goods are carried forward from averages of your own purchases over a per-category window (e.g. 6 months for consumables, 7 years for vehicles). The full amount counts as spending; for durables the part that keeps a resale value (retention factor) is credited back as an asset, so net worth reflects depreciation rather than the full outflow.

net-worth impact = spend − retention × spend
Savings plans and planned trades

A savings plan is one repeating purchase event with a quantity and an amount per rate; a single planned purchase or sale is the same event without repetition. From tomorrow on, every occurrence inside the horizon moves money: a purchase leaves the money assets — it counts as an outflow in the monthly net, exactly like a loan installment — and lands in the object's asset class at the amount paid. A sale runs the other way. The transfer itself does not move net worth: the line assumes neither gain nor loss on it. Rates are fixed nominal commitments and are never escalated with inflation. Occurrences up to today are already part of the object's value and are not counted again.

monthly net = income − expenses − loan installment − special repayment − savings rates & planned purchases + sale proceeds asset class(t) = asset class(0) + Σ purchases(≤ t) − Σ sales(≤ t) Δ net worth caused by a transfer = 0
Value development of the asset classes

Every class starts at 0 % per year — no gain, no loss. Real estate and collectibles additionally follow the price level (inflation). If you state a rate for a class under „Configure scope“, today's stock and every transferred tranche compound at it from the month they are held. For comparison the chart derives what your own objects did so far: purchase price against latest valuation, annualized and value-weighted, over at least six months. That figure is read-only and never applied on its own — the past performance of a few objects says nothing about the future.

value(t) = value(0) × (1 + g)^(t/12) · indexed classes additionally × price level(t) historical g = (latest valuation ÷ purchase price)^(12/months) − 1, value-weighted per class (read-only)
Scenarios

A scenario lays a what-if over your real objects: hidden objects drop out, scenario objects are added as if they were recorded, and everything is projected with the same arithmetic. A changed income is split into the time before, inside and after the change. A loan that starts later carries no debt until its month; then its principal lands in the money assets and the same amount becomes debt, so the line does not move on disbursement. Buying an asset moves its price from the money assets into its class in the purchase month; only the ancillary costs are consumed. The grey ghost line is the current state under the same horizon, and the delta tile is the difference at the end.

Income change: S₁ (until start) · S₂ (new amount) · S₃ (after end) · Loan at m: money +L, debt +L · Purchase at m: class +P, money −P, expense +N · Δ = scenario(T) − current state(T)
Assumptions and limits

Asset values are held constant — no appreciation or depreciation, no taxes, no investment returns — unless you deliberately set a rate for a class. Market volatility of securities and crypto is not modelled; a savings plan is carried at the amount paid. Not in the carry-forward yet: pending bookings in the transactions inbox, the remaining balance of consumer loans (only their installments count), and the running costs of ownership (repairs, maintenance, fuel). Deficits are funded from the money assets; once those run out, the chart stops in that month and warns — selling other assets or taking out a new loan is not modelled. It describes, it does not advise.

Where each object type lands

Every OWNAMIC object type and how the carry-forward reads it — derived from the same rules the calculation runs on, so this table cannot disagree with the numbers.

Object type Assets Cash flow
Flexible Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Appliance Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Artwork Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Clothes Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Collectible Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Collection Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Component Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Decoration Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Electronic Medium Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Electronic device Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Furniture Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Jewlry Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Literature Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Material Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Musical Instrument Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Pet Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Plant Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Real Estate Physical belongings Counts at its value: Real estate Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Sports Equipment Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Tool Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Toy Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Unknown Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Vehicle Physical belongings Counts at its value: Vehicles Past purchases: variable costs (Vehicles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Consumable Consumer goods Not an asset (consumed) Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Cosmetics Consumer goods Not an asset (consumed) Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Digital Asset Financial assets Counts at its value: Digital assets Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Financial Asset Financial assets Counts at its value: Financial assets Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Money & Assets Financial assets Balance as recorded: Money & assets Source of deficits and savings rates; surpluses accumulate here
Mortgage Financial assets Remaining debt (subtracted) Loan installment from the amortization schedule, plus special repayments
Repayment Financial assets — Installment as fixed costwarning Gap: the remaining debt behind it is not modelled yet
Gift Income — Income or expense, per cost type
Salary Income — Income (recurring or one-time)
Insurance Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Power or Heat Supply Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Rent Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Service Service expenses — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))
Subscription Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Tax Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Accommodation Travel costs — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))
Transportation Travel costs — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))

The Big Picture calculates a little differently from the charts in this article. There, prices and income rise month by month, and the value of the house grows with inflation. Its curves therefore run above our cautious calculation. The figures in the text come from the cautious calculation.

How high can the instalment be?

Rule of thumb: at most 40% of your net income for the instalment, and about 10% of room between your monthly surplus and the instalment (Verbraucherzentrale NRW, German). For new loans the average was just under 38% at the end of 2025 (Interhyp with data from AFS and the Bundesbank, German). In Austria, 40% was even mandatory until mid-2025 (WKO, German).

At 37.7% our household is right on the average. The chart starts with a bigger house: a €480,000 loan, so 45.2%. Try other amounts.

Interactive chart What a bigger loan does to the reserve
Pick a loan amount. The line shows the household's account over 15 years, with the heating in year 6 and the roof in year 15.
Loan amount
Monthly instalment
€2,440
Share of net income
45.2%
above the 40% rule of thumb
Reserve after the heating
€13,531
in year 6
Reserve after 15 years
€53,168
Instalment at 4.10% interest and 2% initial repayment · income and costs +2% a year · no interest on savings Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
Year€400,000 (example)€480,000 loan
0€20,000€20,000
1€26,800€21,920
2€34,224€24,464
3€42,284€27,644
4€50,994€31,474
5€60,366€35,966
6€42,811€13,531
7€53,548€19,388
8€64,987€25,947
9€77,142€33,222
10€90,029€41,229
11€103,662€49,982
12€118,055€59,495
13€133,224€69,784
14€149,185€80,865
15€126,368€53,168

The difference shows when the heating is due. With a €400,000 loan, €42,811 remain in the account after year 6; with €480,000 only €13,531. So the ratio decides less whether you can buy than how much buffer you keep.

Interest and repayment: where your instalment goes

The instalment stays the same, its content does not. In the first month €1,367 goes to interest and only €667 to repayment. The smaller the balance, the more you repay. Only in year 11 does repayment exceed interest.

Interactive chart Where your instalment goes
Interest and repayment per year for a 400,000 € loan. Pick the initial repayment and see how term and interest change.
Initial repayment
Monthly instalment
€2,033
Debt-free after
27.3 years
Total interest
€264,779
Repayment exceeds interest
in year 11
4.10% interest assumed for the whole term · the last year may be a part year Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
YearInterestRepaymentBalance
1€16,248€8,152€391,848
2€15,907€8,493€383,355
3€15,553€8,847€374,508
4€15,183€9,217€365,291
5€14,798€9,602€355,689
6€14,397€10,003€345,685
7€13,979€10,421€335,264
8€13,543€10,857€324,407
9€13,090€11,310€313,097
10€12,617€11,783€301,314
11€12,125€12,275€289,039
12€11,612€12,788€276,251
13€11,078€13,322€262,929
14€10,521€13,879€249,050
15€9,941€14,459€234,591
16€9,337€15,063€219,529
17€8,708€15,692€203,837
18€8,052€16,348€187,489
19€7,369€17,031€170,458
20€6,658€17,742€152,716
21€5,917€18,483€134,233
22€5,144€19,256€114,977
23€4,340€20,060€94,917
24€3,502€20,898€74,019
25€2,629€21,771€52,248
26€1,719€22,681€29,567
27€772€23,628€5,938
28€40€5,938€0

After ten years you have paid €145,314 in interest and repaid only €98,686. The biggest lever is the initial repayment:

Initial repayment Instalment Debt-free after Total interest
1% €1,700 about 40 years €412,031
2% €2,033 about 27 years €264,779
3% €2,367 about 21 years €197,754

Calculated with 4.10% over the whole term. Nobody knows the rate after the fixed-rate period today.

Nominal rate or APR?

The nominal rate (Sollzins) is only the price of the money. The annual percentage rate (effektiver Jahreszins) includes every cost the bank knows about (§ 16 PAngV, German), which is why it is the figure to compare. Monthly payment alone turns a 4.10% nominal rate into an APR of 4.18%. Commitment interest and voluntary insurance are not included (Dr. Klein, German).

Two offers for the same €400,000 payout:

Offer A Offer B
Nominal rate 3.90% plus 2% discount (Disagio) 4.10%
APR 4.25% 4.18%
Monthly instalment €2,007 €2,033
Balance after 10 years €308,520 €301,314
Interactive chart Two offers, the same payout
Balance over ten fixed-rate years. Offer A has the lower interest rate but pays out only 98%.
Monthly instalment
A €2,007B €2,033
Annual percentage rate
A 4.25%B 4.18%
Balance after 10 years
A €308,520B €301,314
A costs more by
€4,022
Instalments plus balance after 10 years, minus payout
400,000 € payout, 2% initial repayment, 10 fixed-rate years · the y-axis does not start at zero Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
YearOffer B: 4.10%Offer A: 3.90% plus 2% discount
0€400,000€408,163
1€391,848€399,852
2€383,355€391,212
3€374,508€382,228
4€365,291€372,887
5€355,689€363,176
6€345,685€353,079
7€335,264€342,581
8€324,407€331,666
9€313,097€320,318
10€301,314€308,520

A has the lower nominal rate and the smaller instalment. Because of the discount, though, you borrow €408,163 to receive €400,000. Over ten years A is therefore about €4,000 more expensive. That is exactly what the APR reveals. For context: at the start of October 2026 the Biallo index for ten years fixed stood at 4.42% (leinetal24, German).

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Special repayments: what every extra euro does

A special repayment goes entirely into repayment and lowers your interest from then on. During the fixed-rate period, though, you need a clause in the contract for it (§ 500 BGB, German). So ask for it.

Interactive chart What every extra euro does
Pick a yearly special repayment. The grey line shows the loan without one.
Special repayment a year
Debt-free after
20.1 years
Total interest
€189,050
Interest saved
€75,728
Missing from the reserve
€5,000
a year; the household saves about 6,800 €
Special repayment at each year's end · 4.10% assumed for the whole term Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
YearNo special repayment€5,000 a year
0€400,000€400,000
1€391,848€386,848
2€383,355€373,146
3€374,508€358,872
4€365,291€344,002
5€355,689€328,510
6€345,685€312,372
7€335,264€295,559
8€324,407€278,043
9€313,097€259,796
10€301,314€240,786
11€289,039€220,982
12€276,251€200,351
13€262,929€178,857
14€249,050€156,466
15€234,591€133,139
16€219,529€108,838
17€203,837€83,522
18€187,489€57,147
19€170,458€29,671
20€152,716€1,047
21€134,233€0
22€114,977€0
23€94,917€0
24€74,019€0
25€52,248€0
26€29,567€0
27€5,938€0
28€0€0
29€0€0
30€0€0

With €5,000 a year you save €75,729 in interest and are debt-free after just over 20 years instead of 27. With €10,000 it is even €116,231 and 16 years. But the money is missing from the reserve, and our household only puts aside about €6,800 a year. Special repayments only pay off once the buffer is in place.

Repairs: expected and unexpected

As an owner you pay every repair yourself. Heating, roof or windows you can plan with a year and an amount. For a burst pipe and the like you need a running reserve. Common guide values are at least €1 per m² a month, €4 to €5 for older houses (Interhyp, Schwäbisch Hall, both German). The Peters formula gives about €550 a month for our house.

Our household plans €250 a month plus the heating in year 6 (€25,000 at today's prices) and the roof in year 15 (€30,000).

Interactive chart Net worth with and without repairs
The same calculation twice: once with 250 € of upkeep a month, heating and roof, once without.
Net worth after 20 years
€520,175
With upkeep and repairs
Net worth after 20 years
€660,254
Without upkeep
Too good without repairs
€140,078
Gap after 20 years
House value constant at 450,000 € · repair costs rise 2% a year Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
YearWith upkeep and repairsWithout upkeep
0€70,000€70,000
1€84,952€87,952
2€100,869€106,929
3€117,777€126,958
4€135,703€148,068
5€154,678€170,290
6€147,126€193,653
7€168,284€218,189
8€190,579€243,930
9€214,045€270,911
10€238,715€299,166
11€264,623€328,731
12€291,804€359,642
13€320,295€391,938
14€350,135€425,659
15€341,777€460,843
16€374,431€497,535
17€408,553€535,776
18€444,189€575,612
19€481,381€617,089
20€520,175€660,254

Whatever you do not enter, the Big Picture counts as zero. Without maintenance the curve looks €140,079 too good after 20 years. The data basis in the Big Picture shows you what is still missing.

Less salary: parental leave, part-time, sabbatical

Over 25 years there will almost certainly be phases with less salary. Parental benefit (Elterngeld) replaces 65% of the lost net income, at most €1,800 a month, for 12 to 14 months (FIM portal, German). We calculate two cases:

  • Parental leave plus part-time: In year 2, partner B takes a year of parental leave (€1,430 parental benefit) and then works at 60% for three years. On top come €400 of extra costs for the child each month (assumed).
  • Sabbatical: In year 4, partner A takes six months of unpaid leave and pays €230 a month for health insurance (assumed).
Interactive chart Parental leave, part-time, sabbatical
The household's account over 15 years. Below zero means an overdraft or another loan.
Monthly balance on leave
−€603
Parental leave + part-time
Lowest balance
−€26,059
Parental leave + part-time · in year 6
Reserve after 4 years
€29,239
Sabbatical
Sabbatical costs once
€21,755
Child costs and health insurance assumed · parental benefit stays nominally fixed Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
YearExample householdParental leave + part-timeSabbatical
0€20,000€20,000€20,000
1€26,800€26,800€26,800
2€34,224€19,560€34,224
3€42,284€11,640€42,284
4€50,994€4,049€29,239
5€60,366−€3,205€38,611
6€42,811−€26,059€21,056
7€53,548−€20,728€31,792
8€64,987−€14,803€43,231
9€77,142−€8,271€55,387
10€90,029−€1,121€68,274
11€103,662€6,661€81,907
12€118,055€15,086€96,300
13€133,224€24,167€111,469
14€149,185€33,918€127,430
15€126,368€4,768€104,613

During the parental leave about €600 a month is missing. In year 5 the reserve is empty, and with the heating the household would be €26,059 in the red. The sabbatical costs about €21,800 once, but the reserve stays positive. So what matters is how long the money is missing.

In the Big Picture you put a case like this as a scenario next to your real figures. Here is the scenario "Parental leave + part-time", read-only again. The grey line is the household without the leave. If the curve ends early, the liquid assets are used up. The Big Picture does not simply assume an overdraft; it tells you in which year the money runs out.

Big Picture · read-only Scenario “parental leave + part-time” in the Big Picture
The scenario only changes partner B's salary and adds the child's costs. The grey line is the household without the leave.
Example, invented household · no forecast · no advice
lock Fixed assumptions

Calculated with 2 % income growth and 2 % inflation a year. Wealth goal, value growth and the entries under “Configure scope” are not set. Once registered, you adjust every assumption to suit you.

Register
timeline Time horizon
tune Assumptions & net worth target expand_more
trending_down Inflation
2.0 %
Amounts are future euros at 2.0 % inflation.
trending_up Income growth (nominal)
2.0 %
Real income growth (income vs. prices): 0.0 %/year
flag Wealth goal
€
A target for your net worth — shown as a dashed line, in the net-worth view only.
Scenario · net worth over time With unchanged inputs, net worth would grow over 10 y by: —
0200k400k Remaining debt≈ 358k Net worth today≈ 136k Liquidity used uptoday1 year2 years5 years10 years
expand_content Details expand_more
Data basis

What the carry-forward actually rests on. Every kind of input that is not recorded is calculated as zero and makes the curve too optimistic.

check_circle Income 5,400 € entire horizon
check_circle Fixed costs 1,100 € entire horizon
check_circle Variable costs 1,700 € from 0 purchases
check_circle Assets 470,000 €
check_circle Debt 2,033 € entire horizon
remove Savings plans none
Yearly surplus / deficit
Year → Year 1: +7,137 €1Year 2: −6,708 €2Year 3: −7,742 €3Year 4: −7,409 €4Year 5: −5,334 €5678910
shopping_cart incl. variable costs ≈ 1,700 € / month
Net worthRemaining debt (mortgage)Value corridorCurrent state (comparison)Surplus Deficit
Versus current state after 10 y —Liquid assets run out before the horizon
Net worth today 70,000 €
Corridor 10 y—Liquid assets used up in year 5
Cumulative 10 y—Liquid assets run out before the horizon
Mortgage remaining debt 400,000 € → 358,126 €Liquid assets used up in year 5
functions How this chart is calculated — every formula expand_more

Everything below is computed deterministically from the recorded objects — no AI, no assumptions about markets or prices. Symbols: t = month (0 = today), i = monthly interest rate, σ = assumed standard deviation, g = assumed annual value change of an asset class (0 % unless you set one).

Net worth today

Every active object counts at its documented (purchase-backed) or AI-estimated value: real estate, money and accounts at their recorded balance, financial assets (securities, funds, deposits), digital assets (crypto, tokens, licences), vehicles, collectibles and household goods. The remaining debt of all loans is subtracted. Consumed goods — consumables and cosmetics — are excluded, and a collection is a container that counts only through the objects it holds.

net worth(0) = documented values + estimated values − remaining debt(0) asset classes: real estate · money · financial assets · digital assets · collectibles · vehicles · household
The net-worth line

Six effects move the line: the cash surplus or deficit of that month, the loan principal repaid in it, the durable share of variable purchases (a car keeps resale value, groceries do not), the inflation indexation of price-linked objects (real estate, collectibles), the money moved into asset classes by savings plans and planned trades, and — only if you set a rate per class — the assumed value change. Money assets, financial and digital assets, vehicles and household goods stay nominally constant by default. A savings rate leaves the surplus and arrives as a transfer, so the two cancel and the line does not move. The number above the chart is exactly the rise of that line over the selected horizon — the cumulative surplus alone is only one of the effects and has its own tile further down.

net worth(t) = net worth(0) + cumulative surplus(t) + repaid principal(t) + durable share(t) + inflation indexation(t) + transfers into assets(t) + assumed value change(t)
Yearly surplus / deficit (the bars)

Income minus expenses minus the full loan installment (interest and principal), any special repayments (Sondertilgung) and the rates of savings plans and planned purchases; sale proceeds count as inflows. A year's bar is the sum of its 12 monthly nets. The full installment, special repayments and savings rates all count as outflows here — the principal inside the installment and the transferred savings are credited back in the line above, never counted twice.

monthly net = income − expenses − loan installment − special repayment − savings rates & planned purchases + sale proceeds year bar = Σ of the 12 monthly nets
Who pays when the bars are red?

A deficit is drawn from the money assets (accounts, savings accounts): their stock shrinks by exactly the accumulated deficit. Net worth can still rise at the same time, because most of the loan installment is not a cost but repayment — money moving from the account into home equity. Only the interest portion truly leaves the wealth. A savings plan works the same way: the rate leaves the account and turns into the asset it bought. If the money assets would drop below zero, the chart stops in that month with a red warning: from there on only a sale of other assets or a new loan could pay the bills, and neither is modelled.

money assets(t) = money assets(0) + cumulative surplus(t) (the surplus is already net of savings rates) Δ net worth in month t = monthly net + principal(t) + transfers(t) = income − expenses − interest(t) liquidity used up = first month with money assets(t) < 0 → the chart stops there
Loan repayment (the dashed line)

The remaining-debt line follows a real amortization schedule: each month interest is charged on the current balance, the rest of the installment repays principal. As the balance falls, the interest share shrinks and the repayment share grows. Any recorded special repayments (Sondertilgung) reduce the balance directly on top. Without a recorded installment, the annuity is derived from the contract values (n = term in months). A loan that only starts later in the horizon carries no debt until its start month; then its principal is paid out into the money assets and becomes debt at the same time, and the installments follow from the month after.

i = annual interest rate ÷ 12 interest(t) = balance(t−1) × i principal(t) = installment − interest(t) balance(t) = balance(t−1) − principal(t) − special repayment(t) annuity fallback: installment = loan amount × i ÷ (1 − (1 + i)^−n)
The value corridor

An ~80 % confidence band around the expected line. AI-estimated values carry an assumed uncertainty of ±25 %; recurring spending an assumed variation of ±15 % per month — the band widens over time.

corridor(t) = net worth(t) ± 1.2816 × √(t × σ_spending² + σ_estimates²) σ_estimates = 25 % of AI-estimated values · σ_spending = 15 % of monthly expenses
Wealth goal

A target you set for your net worth. It never enters the arithmetic — the line does not move because of it. It is drawn as a horizontal dashed line in the net-worth view, not in the category view: there the areas show a composition, not a total. The star marks the crossing with the middle curve, and the vertical dashed line runs from there down to the time axis. The tile states the span in which the goal could be met: the upper end of the uncertainty corridor gives the early year, the lower end the late one.

goal year = first month with curve(t) ≥ goal · span = [upper corridor edge, lower corridor edge]
Inflation

The chart shows future euros. Prices — recurring expenses and variable costs — rise with the inflation rate you set, and so do income (at your nominal income growth) and the value of real estate and collectibles. Money assets, financial and digital assets and the mortgage schedule are nominally fixed and stay flat (unless you set a rate per class), which is why savings quietly lose purchasing power while fixed debt gets lighter. Vehicles and household goods are left flat too: they are estimated present values with no depreciation model behind them, and indexing them up would overstate a stock that in reality loses value.

price level(t) = (1 + inflation)^(t/12) · today, real value(t) = nominal value(t) ÷ price level(t)
Variable costs (consumables, vehicles, …)

Consumables, vehicles, collectibles and household goods are carried forward from averages of your own purchases over a per-category window (e.g. 6 months for consumables, 7 years for vehicles). The full amount counts as spending; for durables the part that keeps a resale value (retention factor) is credited back as an asset, so net worth reflects depreciation rather than the full outflow.

net-worth impact = spend − retention × spend
Savings plans and planned trades

A savings plan is one repeating purchase event with a quantity and an amount per rate; a single planned purchase or sale is the same event without repetition. From tomorrow on, every occurrence inside the horizon moves money: a purchase leaves the money assets — it counts as an outflow in the monthly net, exactly like a loan installment — and lands in the object's asset class at the amount paid. A sale runs the other way. The transfer itself does not move net worth: the line assumes neither gain nor loss on it. Rates are fixed nominal commitments and are never escalated with inflation. Occurrences up to today are already part of the object's value and are not counted again.

monthly net = income − expenses − loan installment − special repayment − savings rates & planned purchases + sale proceeds asset class(t) = asset class(0) + Σ purchases(≤ t) − Σ sales(≤ t) Δ net worth caused by a transfer = 0
Value development of the asset classes

Every class starts at 0 % per year — no gain, no loss. Real estate and collectibles additionally follow the price level (inflation). If you state a rate for a class under „Configure scope“, today's stock and every transferred tranche compound at it from the month they are held. For comparison the chart derives what your own objects did so far: purchase price against latest valuation, annualized and value-weighted, over at least six months. That figure is read-only and never applied on its own — the past performance of a few objects says nothing about the future.

value(t) = value(0) × (1 + g)^(t/12) · indexed classes additionally × price level(t) historical g = (latest valuation ÷ purchase price)^(12/months) − 1, value-weighted per class (read-only)
Scenarios

A scenario lays a what-if over your real objects: hidden objects drop out, scenario objects are added as if they were recorded, and everything is projected with the same arithmetic. A changed income is split into the time before, inside and after the change. A loan that starts later carries no debt until its month; then its principal lands in the money assets and the same amount becomes debt, so the line does not move on disbursement. Buying an asset moves its price from the money assets into its class in the purchase month; only the ancillary costs are consumed. The grey ghost line is the current state under the same horizon, and the delta tile is the difference at the end.

Income change: S₁ (until start) · S₂ (new amount) · S₃ (after end) · Loan at m: money +L, debt +L · Purchase at m: class +P, money −P, expense +N · Δ = scenario(T) − current state(T)
Assumptions and limits

Asset values are held constant — no appreciation or depreciation, no taxes, no investment returns — unless you deliberately set a rate for a class. Market volatility of securities and crypto is not modelled; a savings plan is carried at the amount paid. Not in the carry-forward yet: pending bookings in the transactions inbox, the remaining balance of consumer loans (only their installments count), and the running costs of ownership (repairs, maintenance, fuel). Deficits are funded from the money assets; once those run out, the chart stops in that month and warns — selling other assets or taking out a new loan is not modelled. It describes, it does not advise.

Where each object type lands

Every OWNAMIC object type and how the carry-forward reads it — derived from the same rules the calculation runs on, so this table cannot disagree with the numbers.

Object type Assets Cash flow
Flexible Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Appliance Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Artwork Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Clothes Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Collectible Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Collection Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Component Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Decoration Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Electronic Medium Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Electronic device Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Furniture Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Jewlry Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Literature Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Material Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Musical Instrument Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Pet Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Plant Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Real Estate Physical belongings Counts at its value: Real estate Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Sports Equipment Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Tool Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Toy Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Unknown Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Vehicle Physical belongings Counts at its value: Vehicles Past purchases: variable costs (Vehicles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Consumable Consumer goods Not an asset (consumed) Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Cosmetics Consumer goods Not an asset (consumed) Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Digital Asset Financial assets Counts at its value: Digital assets Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Financial Asset Financial assets Counts at its value: Financial assets Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Money & Assets Financial assets Balance as recorded: Money & assets Source of deficits and savings rates; surpluses accumulate here
Mortgage Financial assets Remaining debt (subtracted) Loan installment from the amortization schedule, plus special repayments
Repayment Financial assets — Installment as fixed costwarning Gap: the remaining debt behind it is not modelled yet
Gift Income — Income or expense, per cost type
Salary Income — Income (recurring or one-time)
Insurance Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Power or Heat Supply Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Rent Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Service Service expenses — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))
Subscription Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Tax Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Accommodation Travel costs — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))
Transportation Travel costs — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))

Here, too, the values run a little above our calculation, partly because the Big Picture lets the parental benefit grow with income. The year in which the reserve is empty is the same: year 5.

Unable to work: what happens to the instalment?

After six weeks of continued pay, the health insurer pays sickness benefit (Krankengeld): 70% of gross pay, at most 90% of net pay, for at most 78 weeks within three years for the same illness (Stiftung Warentest, German). After that, in the worst case, only the statutory disability pension (Erwerbsminderungsrente) remains. New full pensions averaged €1,067 in 2025 (gegen-hartz.de with DRV figures, German). It is not rare: depending on the occupation, one in four to one in six privately insured people becomes unable to work in their occupation at least once during their working life (DAV, German).

In the example, partner A stops working for good from year 3. In the variant there is also a €2,000 private disability pension for a €90 monthly premium (assumed).

Interactive chart When one salary stops
Partner A stops working for good from year 3: sickness benefit first, then the disability pension. Below zero means an overdraft or another loan.
On sickness benefit
−€138
Monthly balance
On disability pension
−€1,603
Monthly balance
Reserve after 10 years
−€122,667
Unable to work
Reserve after 10 years
€22,533
With disability cover
Net sickness benefit, private disability pension and premium assumed Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
YearExample householdUnable to workWith disability cover
0€20,000€20,000€20,000
1€26,800€26,800€25,720
2€34,224€34,224€32,064
3€42,284€34,192€30,952
4€50,994€23,673€31,353
5€60,366€4,283€34,883
6€42,811−€42,864€10,656
7€53,548−€62,568€13,872
8€64,987−€82,435€16,925
9€77,142−€102,467€19,813
10€90,029−€122,667€22,533

On sickness benefit only about €140 a month is missing; on the disability pension it is €1,600. In year 6 the reserve is gone. With the private pension the account stays positive.

The same scenario in the Big Picture, without the private pension:

Big Picture · read-only Scenario “unable to work from year 3” in the Big Picture
Partner A first receives sickness benefit, then the disability pension. The grey line is the household without the loss.
Example, invented household · no forecast · no advice
lock Fixed assumptions

Calculated with 2 % income growth and 2 % inflation a year. Wealth goal, value growth and the entries under “Configure scope” are not set. Once registered, you adjust every assumption to suit you.

Register
timeline Time horizon
tune Assumptions & net worth target expand_more
trending_down Inflation
2.0 %
Amounts are future euros at 2.0 % inflation.
trending_up Income growth (nominal)
2.0 %
Real income growth (income vs. prices): 0.0 %/year
flag Wealth goal
€
A target for your net worth — shown as a dashed line, in the net-worth view only.
Scenario · net worth over time With unchanged inputs, net worth would grow over 10 y by: —
0200k400k Remaining debt≈ 351k Net worth today≈ 151k Liquidity used uptoday1 year2 years5 years10 years
expand_content Details expand_more
Data basis

What the carry-forward actually rests on. Every kind of input that is not recorded is calculated as zero and makes the curve too optimistic.

check_circle Income 5,400 € entire horizon
check_circle Fixed costs 1,100 € entire horizon
check_circle Variable costs 1,700 € from 0 purchases
check_circle Assets 470,000 €
check_circle Debt 2,033 € entire horizon
remove Savings plans none
Yearly surplus / deficit
Year → Year 1: +7,137 €1Year 2: +7,768 €2Year 3: +1,248 €3Year 4: −9,083 €4Year 5: −18,268 €5Year 6: −9,088 €678910
shopping_cart incl. variable costs ≈ 1,700 € / month
Net worthRemaining debt (mortgage)Value corridorCurrent state (comparison)Surplus Deficit
Versus current state after 10 y —Liquid assets run out before the horizon
Net worth today 70,000 €
Corridor 10 y—Liquid assets used up in year 6
Cumulative 10 y—Liquid assets run out before the horizon
Mortgage remaining debt 400,000 € → 350,738 €Liquid assets used up in year 6
functions How this chart is calculated — every formula expand_more

Everything below is computed deterministically from the recorded objects — no AI, no assumptions about markets or prices. Symbols: t = month (0 = today), i = monthly interest rate, σ = assumed standard deviation, g = assumed annual value change of an asset class (0 % unless you set one).

Net worth today

Every active object counts at its documented (purchase-backed) or AI-estimated value: real estate, money and accounts at their recorded balance, financial assets (securities, funds, deposits), digital assets (crypto, tokens, licences), vehicles, collectibles and household goods. The remaining debt of all loans is subtracted. Consumed goods — consumables and cosmetics — are excluded, and a collection is a container that counts only through the objects it holds.

net worth(0) = documented values + estimated values − remaining debt(0) asset classes: real estate · money · financial assets · digital assets · collectibles · vehicles · household
The net-worth line

Six effects move the line: the cash surplus or deficit of that month, the loan principal repaid in it, the durable share of variable purchases (a car keeps resale value, groceries do not), the inflation indexation of price-linked objects (real estate, collectibles), the money moved into asset classes by savings plans and planned trades, and — only if you set a rate per class — the assumed value change. Money assets, financial and digital assets, vehicles and household goods stay nominally constant by default. A savings rate leaves the surplus and arrives as a transfer, so the two cancel and the line does not move. The number above the chart is exactly the rise of that line over the selected horizon — the cumulative surplus alone is only one of the effects and has its own tile further down.

net worth(t) = net worth(0) + cumulative surplus(t) + repaid principal(t) + durable share(t) + inflation indexation(t) + transfers into assets(t) + assumed value change(t)
Yearly surplus / deficit (the bars)

Income minus expenses minus the full loan installment (interest and principal), any special repayments (Sondertilgung) and the rates of savings plans and planned purchases; sale proceeds count as inflows. A year's bar is the sum of its 12 monthly nets. The full installment, special repayments and savings rates all count as outflows here — the principal inside the installment and the transferred savings are credited back in the line above, never counted twice.

monthly net = income − expenses − loan installment − special repayment − savings rates & planned purchases + sale proceeds year bar = Σ of the 12 monthly nets
Who pays when the bars are red?

A deficit is drawn from the money assets (accounts, savings accounts): their stock shrinks by exactly the accumulated deficit. Net worth can still rise at the same time, because most of the loan installment is not a cost but repayment — money moving from the account into home equity. Only the interest portion truly leaves the wealth. A savings plan works the same way: the rate leaves the account and turns into the asset it bought. If the money assets would drop below zero, the chart stops in that month with a red warning: from there on only a sale of other assets or a new loan could pay the bills, and neither is modelled.

money assets(t) = money assets(0) + cumulative surplus(t) (the surplus is already net of savings rates) Δ net worth in month t = monthly net + principal(t) + transfers(t) = income − expenses − interest(t) liquidity used up = first month with money assets(t) < 0 → the chart stops there
Loan repayment (the dashed line)

The remaining-debt line follows a real amortization schedule: each month interest is charged on the current balance, the rest of the installment repays principal. As the balance falls, the interest share shrinks and the repayment share grows. Any recorded special repayments (Sondertilgung) reduce the balance directly on top. Without a recorded installment, the annuity is derived from the contract values (n = term in months). A loan that only starts later in the horizon carries no debt until its start month; then its principal is paid out into the money assets and becomes debt at the same time, and the installments follow from the month after.

i = annual interest rate ÷ 12 interest(t) = balance(t−1) × i principal(t) = installment − interest(t) balance(t) = balance(t−1) − principal(t) − special repayment(t) annuity fallback: installment = loan amount × i ÷ (1 − (1 + i)^−n)
The value corridor

An ~80 % confidence band around the expected line. AI-estimated values carry an assumed uncertainty of ±25 %; recurring spending an assumed variation of ±15 % per month — the band widens over time.

corridor(t) = net worth(t) ± 1.2816 × √(t × σ_spending² + σ_estimates²) σ_estimates = 25 % of AI-estimated values · σ_spending = 15 % of monthly expenses
Wealth goal

A target you set for your net worth. It never enters the arithmetic — the line does not move because of it. It is drawn as a horizontal dashed line in the net-worth view, not in the category view: there the areas show a composition, not a total. The star marks the crossing with the middle curve, and the vertical dashed line runs from there down to the time axis. The tile states the span in which the goal could be met: the upper end of the uncertainty corridor gives the early year, the lower end the late one.

goal year = first month with curve(t) ≥ goal · span = [upper corridor edge, lower corridor edge]
Inflation

The chart shows future euros. Prices — recurring expenses and variable costs — rise with the inflation rate you set, and so do income (at your nominal income growth) and the value of real estate and collectibles. Money assets, financial and digital assets and the mortgage schedule are nominally fixed and stay flat (unless you set a rate per class), which is why savings quietly lose purchasing power while fixed debt gets lighter. Vehicles and household goods are left flat too: they are estimated present values with no depreciation model behind them, and indexing them up would overstate a stock that in reality loses value.

price level(t) = (1 + inflation)^(t/12) · today, real value(t) = nominal value(t) ÷ price level(t)
Variable costs (consumables, vehicles, …)

Consumables, vehicles, collectibles and household goods are carried forward from averages of your own purchases over a per-category window (e.g. 6 months for consumables, 7 years for vehicles). The full amount counts as spending; for durables the part that keeps a resale value (retention factor) is credited back as an asset, so net worth reflects depreciation rather than the full outflow.

net-worth impact = spend − retention × spend
Savings plans and planned trades

A savings plan is one repeating purchase event with a quantity and an amount per rate; a single planned purchase or sale is the same event without repetition. From tomorrow on, every occurrence inside the horizon moves money: a purchase leaves the money assets — it counts as an outflow in the monthly net, exactly like a loan installment — and lands in the object's asset class at the amount paid. A sale runs the other way. The transfer itself does not move net worth: the line assumes neither gain nor loss on it. Rates are fixed nominal commitments and are never escalated with inflation. Occurrences up to today are already part of the object's value and are not counted again.

monthly net = income − expenses − loan installment − special repayment − savings rates & planned purchases + sale proceeds asset class(t) = asset class(0) + Σ purchases(≤ t) − Σ sales(≤ t) Δ net worth caused by a transfer = 0
Value development of the asset classes

Every class starts at 0 % per year — no gain, no loss. Real estate and collectibles additionally follow the price level (inflation). If you state a rate for a class under „Configure scope“, today's stock and every transferred tranche compound at it from the month they are held. For comparison the chart derives what your own objects did so far: purchase price against latest valuation, annualized and value-weighted, over at least six months. That figure is read-only and never applied on its own — the past performance of a few objects says nothing about the future.

value(t) = value(0) × (1 + g)^(t/12) · indexed classes additionally × price level(t) historical g = (latest valuation ÷ purchase price)^(12/months) − 1, value-weighted per class (read-only)
Scenarios

A scenario lays a what-if over your real objects: hidden objects drop out, scenario objects are added as if they were recorded, and everything is projected with the same arithmetic. A changed income is split into the time before, inside and after the change. A loan that starts later carries no debt until its month; then its principal lands in the money assets and the same amount becomes debt, so the line does not move on disbursement. Buying an asset moves its price from the money assets into its class in the purchase month; only the ancillary costs are consumed. The grey ghost line is the current state under the same horizon, and the delta tile is the difference at the end.

Income change: S₁ (until start) · S₂ (new amount) · S₃ (after end) · Loan at m: money +L, debt +L · Purchase at m: class +P, money −P, expense +N · Δ = scenario(T) − current state(T)
Assumptions and limits

Asset values are held constant — no appreciation or depreciation, no taxes, no investment returns — unless you deliberately set a rate for a class. Market volatility of securities and crypto is not modelled; a savings plan is carried at the amount paid. Not in the carry-forward yet: pending bookings in the transactions inbox, the remaining balance of consumer loans (only their installments count), and the running costs of ownership (repairs, maintenance, fuel). Deficits are funded from the money assets; once those run out, the chart stops in that month and warns — selling other assets or taking out a new loan is not modelled. It describes, it does not advise.

Where each object type lands

Every OWNAMIC object type and how the carry-forward reads it — derived from the same rules the calculation runs on, so this table cannot disagree with the numbers.

Object type Assets Cash flow
Flexible Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Appliance Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Artwork Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Clothes Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Collectible Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Collection Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Component Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Decoration Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Electronic Medium Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Electronic device Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Furniture Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Jewlry Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Literature Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Material Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Musical Instrument Physical belongings Counts at its value: Collectibles Past purchases: variable costs (Collectibles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Pet Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Plant Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Real Estate Physical belongings Counts at its value: Real estate Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Sports Equipment Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Tool Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Toy Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Past purchases: variable costs (Household & electronics) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Unknown Physical belongings Counts at its value: Household Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Vehicle Physical belongings Counts at its value: Vehicles Past purchases: variable costs (Vehicles) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Consumable Consumer goods Not an asset (consumed) Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Cosmetics Consumer goods Not an asset (consumed) Past purchases: variable costs (Consumables) · planned purchases with quantity: transfer
Digital Asset Financial assets Counts at its value: Digital assets Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Financial Asset Financial assets Counts at its value: Financial assets Planned purchases and sales (events with quantity): transfer between money and this class
Money & Assets Financial assets Balance as recorded: Money & assets Source of deficits and savings rates; surpluses accumulate here
Mortgage Financial assets Remaining debt (subtracted) Loan installment from the amortization schedule, plus special repayments
Repayment Financial assets — Installment as fixed costwarning Gap: the remaining debt behind it is not modelled yet
Gift Income — Income or expense, per cost type
Salary Income — Income (recurring or one-time)
Insurance Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Power or Heat Supply Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Rent Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Service Service expenses — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))
Subscription Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Tax Service expenses — Fixed cost (income if the cost type says so)
Accommodation Travel costs — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))
Transportation Travel costs — Recurring: fixed cost · past one-time: variable costs (Services (services, accommodation, travel))

The Big Picture, too, sees the liquid assets used up in year 6.

Cover at a glance (a description, not a recommendation):

Cover Pays out when Verbraucherzentrale's assessment
Occupational disability insurance (BU) You can no longer work in your occupation "first choice" to protect your earning power
Term life insurance Death, paid to the survivors sensible to protect dependants
Payment protection insurance depending on the contract, death, incapacity or job loss "expensive and rarely pays out"

Source: Verbraucherzentrale (German). OWNAMIC gives no insurance advice. Independent advice is available, for example, from the Verbraucherzentrale.

What the loan does to your net worth

Every repayment raises your net worth. Interest and the €45,000 purchase costs, on the other hand, are gone. Owners with a loan had a median net worth of €379,900 in 2023, renters €18,300 (Bundesbank PHF 2023 via Richify, German). But that proves little: people who can buy often had more to begin with.

Hence the fair comparison: the same household as renters, paying €1,600 cold rent (plus 2% a year). The renters keep their €115,000 and save the difference to the loan instalment, without interest.

Interactive chart Buying or renting: net worth
The same household twice. The renter keeps the equity and saves the difference to the instalment.
Net worth after 10 years
Buy €238,715Rent €279,246
Buying is ahead
from year 18
Net worth after 30 years
Buy €1,003,759Rent €723,521
Buying is ahead
House value 0% growth · rent +2% a year · no interest on savings Invented household · own calculation · no forecast, no advice
Values as a table
YearBuying with a loanRenting, 1,600 € cold rent
0€70,000€115,000
1€84,952€130,000
2€100,869€145,300
3€117,777€160,906
4€135,703€176,824
5€154,678€193,061
6€147,126€209,622
7€168,284€226,514
8€190,579€243,745
9€214,045€261,319
10€238,715€279,246
11€264,623€297,531
12€291,804€316,181
13€320,295€335,205
14€350,135€354,609
15€341,777€374,401
16€374,431€394,589
17€408,553€415,181
18€444,189€436,185
19€481,381€457,608
20€520,175€479,461
21€560,620€501,750
22€602,765€524,485
23€646,659€547,674
24€692,357€571,328
25€739,911€595,454
26€789,379€620,064
27€840,818€645,165
28€894,033€670,768
29€948,353€696,884
30€1,003,759€723,521

Buying only pulls ahead after 18 years, mainly because the instalment stays fixed while the rent rises. That only holds if the renters really save and the house gains no value. And: the buyer's wealth sits in the house, while the instalment comes out of the account.

Compare loan offers independently

Offers from different banks can be more than €100,000 apart. In the Finanztest field test, only 4 of 19 institutions made mostly good offers (Stiftung Warentest, German). How to compare:

  1. Set the key figures yourself: amount, fixed-rate period, repayment, special repayment.
  2. Get at least three offers: your own bank, another bank, a broker.
  3. Ask for the ESIS sheet. It has the same structure at every bank (ODDO BHF, German).
  4. Compare APR and remaining balance, not the instalment.
  5. Check the small print: special repayment, changing the repayment rate, commitment-free period, mandatory insurance.
  6. Get a second opinion, for example from the Verbraucherzentrale (German).

To fill in, one row per offer:

Lender Nominal rate APR Instalment Balance after fixed period Special repayment a year Commitment-free period Other costs
Your own bank
Bank 2
Broker

Work out an annuity loan in Excel

With one sheet and five formulas you can check any offer. The key figures go at the top:

Cell Content Example
B1 Loan 400000
B2 Nominal rate a year 4.10%
B3 Initial repayment 2%
B4 Special repayment a year 0
B5 Monthly instalment =B1*(B2+B3)/12 gives €2,033.33

From row 8 the repayment schedule follows, one row per month. You fill in row 9 by hand and drag everything down from row 10 (about 400 rows):

Column Heading Formula in row 9 from row 10
A Month 1 =A9+1
B Balance at start =$B$1 =F9
C Interest =B9*$B$2/12 drag down
D Repayment =MIN($B$5-C9,B9) drag down
E Special repayment =IF(MOD(A9,12)=0,MIN($B$4,B9-D9),0) drag down
F Balance at end =B9-D9-E9 drag down

To check: month 1 gives €1,366.67 interest and €666.67 repayment, month 120 a balance of €301,314.12. Useful functions in English-language Excel:

  • =NPER(B2/12,-B5,B1) gives the term, here 326.9 months.
  • =SUM(C9:C408) gives the total interest, here €264,779.
  • =EFFECT(B2,12) gives the APR without fees, here 4.18%.
  • =(1+IRR(payments))^12-1 gives the APR including a discount or fees. Enter the payout as a plus in month 0, then the instalments, and the remaining balance as a minus at the end.

In German-language Excel the functions are called ZZR, SUMME, EFFEKTIV, IKV, WENN and REST, and the separator is a semicolon.

Everything in one picture: your financial compass

In real life every lever moves at once. In the OWNAMIC Big Picture, the loan, the household book, big expenses such as heating or roof, and scenarios such as parental leave or a sabbatical sit on one timeline. The remaining debt runs along as a dashed line. If the term you entered ends with debt left, the Big Picture keeps it constant from then on and marks the follow-up financing as "open — assumed". The data basis shows you what is still missing. You see the result as a corridor, also in today's purchasing power.

The Big Picture is your compass, the household book your rudder.

OWNAMIC gives no advice: no financial, investment, insurance or tax advice. The Big Picture carries your own entries forward and does not predict what will happen.

Try it free for 14 days, no payment details: ownamic.com/en/finances

Further reading: Run the numbers on parental leave · Carrying your net worth forward · Financial planning with OWNAMIC

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Sources

All example calculations are our own, for an invented household, as of October 2026. They are no substitute for financial, investment or insurance advice. Most sources are in German.

Frequently asked questions

How high can the instalment on a home loan be?

A common rule of thumb says at most 40% of net income for the instalment. For new loans the average was just under 38% at the end of 2025. More important than the ratio is how much buffer remains. In the example, at 37.7% the account still holds €42,811 after the new heating; at 45.2% it holds only €13,531.

Why does the APR matter more than the nominal rate?

The nominal rate is only the price of the money. The annual percentage rate (APR) includes every cost the bank knows about, a discount (Disagio) for example. In the example, offer A has the lower nominal rate and the smaller instalment but costs about €4,000 more over ten years. The higher APR shows exactly that.

Is a special repayment worth it?

Every euro of special repayment lowers your interest from then on. With €5,000 a year the example household saves €75,729 in interest and is debt-free about seven years earlier. But that money is missing from the reserve. Special repayments only pay off once the buffer is in place. During the fixed-rate period you need a clause in the contract for them.

Does OWNAMIC tell me which loan I will get?

No. OWNAMIC gives no advice and arranges no loans. The Big Picture carries your own entries forward: loan, income, costs, reserve and planned expenses. You put scenarios such as parental leave or a sabbatical next to them without changing your real data.

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OWNAMIC as an app

Add OWNAMIC to your Home Screen

iPhone and iPad have no install dialog – Apple leaves it to Safari's share menu. Three taps and OWNAMIC opens like any other app: full screen, with its own icon.

  1. Tap the share icon in Safari's bottom bar.
  2. Scroll down the list and choose “Add to Home Screen”.
  3. Confirm with “Add” – OWNAMIC is now on your Home Screen.

Only Safari can put a web app on the iOS Home Screen. If you are reading this in another browser, open ownamic.com in Safari first.